Commercial simulation

Simulate every decision that matters.

Price, promotion, portfolio, launch—see what each option is worth, with the range around it, before the plan commits.

Scenario lab · Market North portfolio3 alternatives · FY27
Decision pointC · +4.2%B · +3.1% · SelectedA · +1.4%No action
Indexed outcomes for the baseline and three scenarios. Scenario B is selected.
MetricBaselineAB · SelectedC
Revenue100.0101.4103.1104.2
Margin100.0100.9101.3100.2
Volume100.099.699.2101.0
  • Selective price +2.5%
  • Promotion depth −4 pts
  • Distribution +120 bps

What you can test

If you can propose it, you can simulate it.

  1. Price & pack

    Change list price, pack size, or the ladder across the portfolio.

  2. Promotion

    Change depth, timing, mechanics, or trade investment.

  3. Distribution

    Change reach by market, account, or channel.

  4. Portfolio & assortment

    Add, extend, or rebalance what a market carries.

  5. Launch & delist

    Introduce, replace, or retire—with transfer made explicit.

Scenario studio

From “what if” to a full answer in minutes.

Describe the move—products, prices, scope. Molsaro runs it through your own demand model and hands back the demand, financial, and share consequences, with the setup in plain sight.

Intervention

Price and promotion reset

Applied to 4 offers across the selected scope.

Demand response

Volume −0.8%

Own-product switching offsets most of the expected decline.

Financial outcome

Margin +1.3 pts

Net revenue increases while trade investment falls.

+3.1%
Revenue
−0.8%
Volume
+1.3 pts
Margin
Stable
Share

Source of growth

Know exactly where your growth comes from.

Every volume change is split into its sources—new demand, switching you win, switching you pay for—so the growth you bank is real, not borrowed from your own portfolio.

Demand affected by the move

For every 100 units affected, 65 stay inside the portfolio.

Priority offers
+3.4
Rest of portfolio
−2.1
Competitors
−0.5
InterpretationMost of the gain comes from portfolio migration; the selected architecture preserves the entry offer and limits external volume loss.

The strongest move

Find the move that grows revenue and margin together.

Every alternative is scored on the same baseline. The strongest option stands out in seconds—and the ones that quietly give margin away are exposed just as fast.

The trade-off, plottedMargin vs. volume · modelled range
Alternative A

Hold price and promotion

Safe—but leaves the margin target unmet.

Revenue
+0.4%
Margin
+0.1 pts
Volume
100.2
Strongest fitAlternative B

Move premium, protect entry

Grows margin and revenue while holding volume.

Revenue
+3.1%
Margin
+1.3 pts
Volume
99.2
Alternative C

Move the full portfolio

Biggest headline number—at a volume cost the plan cannot take.

Revenue
+4.2%
Margin
+0.2 pts
Volume
97.6

Confidence

Thousands of futures, already run.

Monte Carlo simulation returns the expected result, the upside, and the worst plausible day—so you commit with confidence, not hope.

Margin outcome distributionScenario B
18.0%20.6%
Downside exposure−0.6 pts

60% outcome range against the accepted baseline.

Largest sensitivityCompetitive response

A high-price reaction changes the modeled value most.

Break-even pointVolume −3.1%

Below the modeled expectation, the case no longer clears.

Decision handoff

From decision to committed plan—with the proof attached.

The approved case carries its expected outcomes, owner, and review milestones straight into planning—no re-keying, no lost rationale, nothing to defend twice.

Review pack · Scenario BReady for approval

Portfolio price architecture

Recommended · Proceed with the selective move and protect the entry offer

Hold the alternative if competitor response exceeds the agreed threshold. Margin range +0.7 to +1.9 pts across the modelled cases.

  • Why this pathBest balance of margin, volume resilience, and risk.
  • Watch conditionCompetitive reaction in the first six weeks.

Every figure links to the period, the source, and the model run behind it.

Owner
Growth strategy
Review forum
Operating committee
Decision date
22 July 2027
Plan destination
FY28 portfolio plan
Create planning case
  • Supported scope visible
  • Assumptions preserved
  • No fabricated inputs

The full platform

Test any move. Then go further.

  1. 01

    Understand

    Ask what happened and why—answers grounded in your own data.

  2. 02

    Anticipate

    See what is coming, with the accuracy record attached.

  3. 03

    Simulate

    Test any move before you make it—on your own demand model.

  4. 04

    Optimize

    Let the engine search every option for the strongest one.

  5. 05

    Commit

    Turn the chosen move into the plan of record.

Each capability feeds the next—the question you ask on day one becomes the plan you commit at the end of the quarter, without leaving the platform.

Questions commercial teams ask

What commercial teams ask us first.

Price and pack, promotion, distribution, portfolio and assortment, and launch or delist actions—alone or combined—evaluated against a named forecast baseline.

Get started

See your next move before you make it.

Bring a live decision—pricing, promotion, portfolio, or launch—and we’ll model it in the demo, on data like yours.